Week 14 - Monday Night Football

Chiefs

vs

Texans

Here’s a quick breakdown of the Chiefs 4th down decision, late in the game from their own territory.

Coach Reid made the right decision — despite the play execution failing to convert.

Scoreboard (i): Q4  5:31 | 4th & 4  Ball at KC 41 | KC down by 7 (10–17) 

  • Recommendation: Go for it (green bars)
  • At 4th & 4, it’s a “GO”
    • Go for it → 10.4% chance to go on to win the game
    • FG attempt → 7.4% chance to go on to win the game
    • +3.0% decision edge for going for it (value above 4th & 1 bar) (ii)